Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.220795 0.257074 0.297516 0.345959 0.402440 0.466254 0.543885
2025-02-23 0.160680 0.207780 0.266076 0.343627 0.444260 0.570677 0.741966
2025-03-02 0.125835 0.174900 0.240163 0.333507 0.463956 0.640356 0.898020
2025-03-09 0.108612 0.160104 0.232741 0.342975 0.506677 0.741840 1.107262
2025-03-16 0.093692 0.145278 0.221820 0.344079 0.535423 0.825066 1.299968
2025-03-23 0.083372 0.135249 0.215780 0.350436 0.571342 0.921818 1.524903
2025-03-30 0.072410 0.122360 0.203133 0.343916 0.584948 0.984026 1.701607
2025-04-06 0.064054 0.112401 0.193592 0.340650 0.602593 1.053822 1.899042
2025-04-13 0.057741 0.104963 0.187118 0.341380 0.626558 1.136436 2.128979
2025-04-20 0.054535 0.102524 0.188873 0.356679 0.678105 1.273610 2.476349
2025-04-27 0.051263 0.099484 0.189055 0.368886 0.725128 1.407797 2.835712
2025-05-04 0.048106 0.096217 0.188334 0.379098 0.769311 1.541552 3.211770
2025-05-11 0.044380 0.091471 0.184394 0.382864 0.802031 1.658673 3.574443
2025-05-18 0.040388 0.085697 0.177747 0.380323 0.821637 1.752118 3.901754
2025-05-25 0.036067 0.078667 0.167642 0.369104 0.821126 1.802924 4.142503
2025-06-01 0.034163 0.076571 0.167602 0.379600 0.869363 1.964915 4.657087
2025-06-08 0.031686 0.072886 0.163661 0.380824 0.896719 2.083678 5.087641
2025-06-15 0.029898 0.070531 0.162360 0.387872 0.938386 2.240281 5.631307
2025-06-22 0.027286 0.065930 0.155396 0.380643 0.944932 2.314763 5.981937
2025-06-29 0.025178 0.062275 0.150202 0.377022 0.959810 2.411196 6.402423
2025-07-06 0.023540 0.059571 0.146962 0.377832 0.985930 2.538852 6.923449
2025-07-13 0.022945 0.059411 0.149916 0.394794 1.056041 2.787772 7.808561
2025-07-20 0.022184 0.058728 0.151482 0.408328 1.118870 3.025846 8.699225